Swing/Positional Trade Idea: Jamna Auto (NSE: JAMNAAUTO)

2 576
Pattern Alert: Rounding Bottom Nears Breakout!

📈 Technical Setup
Daily Chart Pattern: Price is completing a multi-month rounding bottom (bullish reversal pattern), signaling accumulation.

Current Price: Consolidating near ₹88.80, approaching the crucial breakout zone of ₹94.25–95.60.

Confirmation Trigger: A decisive close above ₹95.60 on rising volume validates the breakout.

🎯 Trade Strategy
Entry: Buy on breakout confirmation above ₹95.60 (close basis).
Stop Loss: ₹86.36 (below the recent swing low & pattern support).

Targets:
T1: ₹106 (+11% from breakout)
T2: ₹113 (+18%)
T3: ₹123 (+29%)
T4: ₹133 (+39%)

Final Target: ₹149 (all-time high, +56%)

Risk-Reward: 1:5+ (based on SL to T1).

⚠️ Key Notes
Patience Required: This is a positional trade with a 3–6 month horizon. Hold through minor pullbacks.

Volume Confirmation: Breakout must be backed by +50% above average volume for conviction.


💡 Why This Works
Rounding bottoms indicate long-term trend reversal with high follow-through probability.

Targets align with Fibonacci extensions & prior swing highs.

Low-risk entry: Tight SL (8% risk) for asymmetric upside.

Trade smart. Track volume. Patience pays!

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📜 GENERAL DISCLAIMER
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy/sell securities. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor.

❗ KEY RISK ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

Not Personalized Advice: This idea is based on technical analysis and may not align with your risk profile, capital, or goals.

Past Performance ≠ Future Results: Patterns may fail due to market volatility, news, or sector weakness.

Capital Risk: You may lose all or more than your initial investment. Use only risk capital.

Stop Loss Execution: SL orders may trigger below ₹86.36 during gaps or low liquidity.

Holding Period: Positional trades require monitoring. Unforeseen events (earnings, regulations, global shocks) could invalidate the setup.

Bias Alert: This is a bullish bias idea. Always assess bearish scenarios.

🔍 Verify Independently

Cross-verify with fundamentals (debt, earnings, management).

Check broader market trends (Nifty Auto, Nifty 500).

Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before acting.

⚠️ YOUR RESPONSIBILITY
You alone are accountable for trading decisions. The author/platform assumes no liability for losses.

כתב ויתור

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